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Monthly archives: October 2005

 

Pre-Season Predictions: How'd We Do?
2005-10-03 19:34
by Cliff Corcoran

Back in March, the nine of us here at Toaster got together at the behest of Cub Town's Alex Ciepley to predict the way the 30 major league teams would finish within their division and which two teams would take the Wild Cards. Now that the regular season is over, I thought it would be fun to take a look back at those predictions and see how we did.

What I've done (as I did at the All-Star break in my mid-season predictions review) is given each of us a score based on the number of games away each team is from the position we predicted they'd finish in the standings. For example, I predicted that the Diamondbacks would finish last in the NL West (heh), so I get 10 points added to my score because the D-Backs actually finished ten games ahead of the last-place Rockies. I then get four more points for having the Rockies in fourth because they finished four games behind the fourth-place Dodgers. For the Wild Cards I used the same system based on the distance between the predicted team and the team currently in the Wild Card lead. The lower the score, the better the predictions (at least according to this system). Got it?

Use these links to review our American and National League precitions and comments. Here are the scores:

American League
ToasterScore
Alex B51
Cliff62
Scott62
Jon64
Ken78
Derek82
Mike86
Alex C88
Will100

National League
ToasterScore
Alex C57
Ken59
Derek62
Will62
Alex B82
Mike86
Scott96
Cliff98
Jon134

Total
ToasterScore
Alex B133
Ken137
Derek144
Alex C145
Scott158
Cliff160
Will162
Mike172
Jon198

Here's how those scores break down:

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