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Monthly archives: October 2005

 

Pre-Season Predictions: How'd We Do?
2005-10-03 19:34
by Cliff Corcoran

Back in March, the nine of us here at Toaster got together at the behest of Cub Town's Alex Ciepley to predict the way the 30 major league teams would finish within their division and which two teams would take the Wild Cards. Now that the regular season is over, I thought it would be fun to take a look back at those predictions and see how we did.

What I've done (as I did at the All-Star break in my mid-season predictions review) is given each of us a score based on the number of games away each team is from the position we predicted they'd finish in the standings. For example, I predicted that the Diamondbacks would finish last in the NL West (heh), so I get 10 points added to my score because the D-Backs actually finished ten games ahead of the last-place Rockies. I then get four more points for having the Rockies in fourth because they finished four games behind the fourth-place Dodgers. For the Wild Cards I used the same system based on the distance between the predicted team and the team currently in the Wild Card lead. The lower the score, the better the predictions (at least according to this system). Got it?

Use these links to review our American and National League precitions and comments. Here are the scores:

American League
ToasterScore
Alex B51
Cliff62
Scott62
Jon64
Ken78
Derek82
Mike86
Alex C88
Will100

National League
ToasterScore
Alex C57
Ken59
Derek62
Will62
Alex B82
Mike86
Scott96
Cliff98
Jon134

Total
ToasterScore
Alex B133
Ken137
Derek144
Alex C145
Scott158
Cliff160
Will162
Mike172
Jon198

Here's how those scores break down:

Continue reading...

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If the playoffs started today...

American League:

#2 Los Angeles (West) vs. #4 Boston (Wild Card)

#3 Cleveland (Central) vs #1 Tampa Bay (East)

National League:

#1 Arizona (West) vs. #4 Houston (Wild Card)
#2 Chicago (Central) vs. #3 Florida (East)

2008 Conference Standings (5/15)
National League National League
Rank Team W L PCT Division
1 Arizona 26 15 .634 W1
2 Chicago Cubs 25 16 .61 C1
3 Florida 23 17 .575 E1
4 Houston 24 18 .571 C2
5 St. Louis 24 19 .558 C3
6 Philadelphia 23 19 .548 E2
7 Los Angeles Dodgers 21 19 .525 W2
8 New York Mets 20 19 .513 E3
9 Atlanta 20 20 .5 E4
10T Pittsburgh 20 21 .488 C4
10T Milwaukee 20 21 .488 C4
12 Cincinnati 18 23 .439 C6
13 Washington 18 24 .429 E5
14 San Francisco 17 25 .405 W3
15 Colorado 15 26 .366 W4
16 San Diego 15 27 .357 W5
American League
Rank Team W L PCT Division
1 Tampa Bay 24 17 .585 E1
2 Los Angeles Angels 24 19 .558 W1
3 Cleveland 22 19 .537 C1
4 Boston 24 19 .558 E2
5 Oakland 23 19 .548 W2
6 Baltimore 21 19 .525 E3
7T Minnesota 20 20 .5 C2
7T Chicago White Sox 20 20 .5 C2
9 Toronto 21 22 .488 E4
10T Texas 20 22 .476 W3
10T New York Yankees 20 22 .476 E5
12 Kansas City 19 21 .475 C4
13 Detroit 16 25 .39 C5
14 Seattle 16 26 .381 W4
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