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Email me at btimmermann@gmail.com

NCAA Tournament Contest Champion

Andrew Shimmin

2008 contest

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The stuff I keep track of
2008 Conference Standings FINAL
National League
Rank Team W L PCT Division
1 Chicago Cubs 97 64 .602 C1
2 Philadelphia 92 70 .568 E1
3 Los Angeles Dodgers 84 78 .519 W1
4 Milwaukee 90 72 .556 C2
5 New York Mets 89 73 .549 E2
6 Houston 86 75 .534 C3
7 St. Louis 86 76 .531 C4
8 Florida 84 77 .522 E3
9 Arizona 82 80 .506 W2
10T Colorado 74 88 .457 W3
10T Cincinnati 74 88 .457 C5
12T Atlanta 72 90 .444 E4
12T San Francisco 72 90 .444 W4
14 Pittsburgh 67 95 .414 C6
15 San Diego 63 99 .389 W5
16 Washington 59 102 .366 E5
American League
Rank Team W L PCT Division
1 Los Angeles Angels 100 62 .617 W1
2 Tampa Bay 97 65 .599 E1
3 Chicago White Sox 89 74 .546 C1
4 Boston 95 67 .586 E2
5 New York Yankees 89 73 .549 E3
6 Minnesota 88 75 .540 C2
7 Toronto 86 76 .531 E4
8 Cleveland 81 81 .500 C3
9 Texas 79 83 .488 W2
10 Oakland 75 86 .466 W3
11 Kansas City 75 87 .463 C4
12 Detroit 74 88 .457 C5
13 Baltimore 68 93 .422 E5
14 Seattle 61 101 .377 W4
Random Game Callbacks

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So where is that book?

Personal favorites that I wrote
The Metro Area Battles

New York
WLGB
Yankees8973
Mets8973

Baltimore/DC
WLGB
X - Orioles6893
Nationals591029

Chicago
WLGB
X - Cubs9764
White Sox89749

LA/Orange County
WLGB
X - Angels10062
Dodgers847816

SF/Oakland
WLGB
X - Athletics7685
Giants72904.5

X - Clinched

So long and thanks for playing this year

1. Washington (8/31)
2. Seattle (9/1)
3. Pittsburgh (9/6) *
3. San Diego (9/6) *
5. Baltimore (9/8)
6. Oakland (9/8)
7. Atlanta (9/9)
8. Kansas City (9/9)
9. Cincinnati (9/10)
10. Texas (9/13)
11. Detroit (9/15)
12. San Francisco (9/17)
13. Colorado (9/18)
14. Cleveland (9/19)
15. Toronto (9/21)
16. New York Yankees (9/23)
17. St. Louis (9/23)
18. Florida (9/23)
19. Arizona (9/25)
20. Houston (9/26)
21. New York Mets (9/28)
22. Minnesota (9/30)
23. Chicago Cubs (10/4)
24. Milwaukee (10/5)
25. Chicago White Sox (10/6)
26. Los Angeles Angels (10/6)

* - Teams eliminated at same time

The last batter to reach on catcher's interference was ...

Seth McClung of Milwaukee by Koyie Hill of the Cubs on September 26, 2008.

FAQs
Cycle alerts

Yellow alert - Player needs triple for cycle
Orange alert - Player needs double for cycle
Red alert - Player need single for cycle

If a player needs a home run for the cycle, the level of the alert varies depending upon the determination of the Cycle Detection Warning System, which is headquartered in Thief River Falls, Minnesota.

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'Floyd shoulda bunted!'
2006-10-25 21:20
by Bob Timmermann

Carl Bialik of the Wall Street Journal in his Numbers Guy column is still bemoaning why Willie Randolph didn't order Cliff Floyd to bunt in the ninth inning of Game 7 of the NLCS.

But the article's concludes that there may be no definite answer.

Still, it's unlikely that any team managers are crunching such numbers in the dugout. These analyses entail "a level of complexity that works well in theory but is hard to execute in game conditions," Mr. Woolner told me. Armchair managers, however, can track game situations using a win-expectancy calculator at walkoffbalk.com, or by using Mr. Fox's free software application, Big League Pocket Manager.

In making strategic decisions such as whether to bunt, "There's clearly wrong, clearly right, or somewhere in between," said "The Book" co-author Mr. Lichtman, a former advisor for the Cardinals. "If it's somewhere in between, I always say, flip a coin."

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Comments
2006-10-25 22:12:52
1.   das411
Then watch that coin tumble through the strike zone ending your season...HAHAHA Met fans!!!
2006-10-25 22:17:30
2.   Xeifrank
Let's say he bunts and moves the runners over. Then you have 2nd and 3rd with one out. Then let's assume the next three batters have the same results as there is no other fair way to guess what they would've done. Reyes flies out to center for the 2nd out. Perhaps the runner tags and scores from third and makes it 3-2. LoDuca walks and then Beltran strikes out to end the game. Mets lose either 3-1 or 3-2. So many woulda coulda shouldas. Why not double steal, why not hit and run, why not use one of your life lines and ask Jim Tracy what he would do in that situation. vr, Xei
2006-10-25 23:49:07
3.   Tom Meagher
More illuminating MGL analysis at The Book blog:

http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.php/site/comments/wall_street_journal_and_the_bunt/#comments

2006-10-25 23:49:32
4.   Tom Meagher
Sorry for not using tinyurl, I forgot!
2006-10-25 23:59:53
5.   Bob Timmermann
It's OK, it's not that long.
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