Baseball Toaster: The Griddle : Washington and Seattle down to just the wild card or nothing

Rank	Team	W	L	PCT	Division
1	Chicago Cubs	97	64	.602	C1
2	Philadelphia	92	70	.568	E1
3	Los Angeles Dodgers	84	78	.519	W1
4	Milwaukee	90	72	.556	C2
5	New York Mets	89	73	.549	E2
6	Houston	86	75	.534	C3
7	St. Louis	86	76	.531	C4
8	Florida	84	77	.522	E3
9	Arizona	82	80	.506	W2
10T	Colorado	74	88	.457	W3
10T	Cincinnati	74	88	.457	C5
12T	Atlanta	72	90	.444	E4
12T	San Francisco	72	90	.444	W4
14	Pittsburgh	67	95	.414	C6
15	San Diego	63	99	.389	W5
16	Washington	59	102	.366	E5

American League

Rank	Team	W	L	PCT	Division
1	Los Angeles Angels	100	62	.617	W1
2	Tampa Bay	97	65	.599	E1
3	Chicago White Sox	89	74	.546	C1
4	Boston	95	67	.586	E2
5	New York Yankees	89	73	.549	E3
6	Minnesota	88	75	.540	C2
7	Toronto	86	76	.531	E4
8	Cleveland	81	81	.500	C3
9	Texas	79	83	.488	W2
10	Oakland	75	86	.466	W3
11	Kansas City	75	87	.463	C4
12	Detroit	74	88	.457	C5
13	Baltimore	68	93	.422	E5
14	Seattle	61	101	.377	W4

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The Metro Area Battles

New York

W L GB

Yankees 89 73

Mets 89 73

Baltimore/DC

W L GB

X - Orioles 68 93

Nationals 59 102 9

Chicago

W L GB

X - Cubs 97 64

White Sox 89 74 9

LA/Orange County

W L GB

X - Angels 100 62

Dodgers 84 78 16

SF/Oakland

W L GB

X - Athletics 76 85

Giants 72 90 4.5

X - Clinched

So long and thanks for playing this year

1. Washington (8/31)
2. Seattle (9/1)
3. Pittsburgh (9/6) *
3. San Diego (9/6) *
5. Baltimore (9/8)
6. Oakland (9/8)
7. Atlanta (9/9)
8. Kansas City (9/9)
9. Cincinnati (9/10)
10. Texas (9/13)
11. Detroit (9/15)
12. San Francisco (9/17)
13. Colorado (9/18)
14. Cleveland (9/19)
15. Toronto (9/21)
16. New York Yankees (9/23)
17. St. Louis (9/23)
18. Florida (9/23)
19. Arizona (9/25)
20. Houston (9/26)
21. New York Mets (9/28)
22. Minnesota (9/30)
23. Chicago Cubs (10/4)
24. Milwaukee (10/5)
25. Chicago White Sox (10/6)
26. Los Angeles Angels (10/6)
27. Los Angeles Dodgers (10/15)
28. Boston (10/19)
29. Tampa Bay (10/29)

* - Teams eliminated at same time

The last batter to reach on catcher's interference was ...

Seth McClung of Milwaukee by Koyie Hill of the Cubs on September 26, 2008.

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Washington and Seattle down to just the wild card or nothing

2008-08-27 21:00

by Bob Timmermann

Both Seattle and Washington were eliminated from winning their respective divisions today.

For the Mariners, it's fairly straightforward math as Seattle has 83 losses and the Angels have 80 wins. Once losses + wins = 163, you're done. Wild card leader Boston has just 77 wins, so the M's could sneak in there.

For the Nats, they were eliminated from the division (I believe) because third place Florida won. I've gone through several scenarios and it looks like there is no way for one of the top 3 teams in the NL East to NOT win more than 77 games this year.

The Nats have an extremely faint pulse for the wild card according to my math, which is too long and messy to show.

And likely wrong.

Comments

2008-08-27 23:13:28

1. Travis08

I'm pretty sure Washington still has a chance at the division. A potential scenario:

- Washington wins out. 77 wins.
- The Mets lose every game but one of their three remaining against Philly and two of their six against Florida. 77 wins.
- The Phillies lose every game but two of their three remaining against the Mets and two of their six against Florida. 77 wins.
- The Marlins lose every game but eight of their twelve against the Mets and Phillies. 76 wins.
- The Braves lose at least 3 of 6 to Colorado and Houston. No more than 77 wins.
- Washington wins the playoff.

The best Washington can do in the wild card is a three-way tie with the Brewers and the Mets/Phillies loser.

2008-08-28 08:49:39

2. Bob Timmermann

I did say I was likely wrong

Thanks for figuring out the "blowing up the Death Star" scenario.

So Washington can only be eliminated today if they lose.