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Email me at btimmermann@gmail.com

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I'm nervous, I've never sat at the adult table
2007-10-16 00:45
by Bob Timmermann

How teams fared in their first trip to the World Series:

14 13 winners, 12 losers

Comments
2007-10-16 08:16:56
1.   D4P
I don't care what the data say. You have to have Been There Before in order to win.
2007-10-16 08:21:40
2.   mehmattski
1 Yeah, but what if you're Hot? Or have That Special Something? Or David Eckstein?
2007-10-16 09:42:43
3.   underdog
or great character?
2007-10-16 11:50:15
4.   rbj
Heart. You gotta have heart. And whichever team wants it more will win it.

BTW, at the adult table just keep your elbows off the table. And be polite.

2007-10-16 12:05:57
5.   Kels
I heard scoring more runs helps...
2007-10-16 12:41:02
6.   Gagne55
Intuitively, one would believe that winning the World Series would have no correlation with having been there before. Bob's data shows a slight positive correlation with winning on one's first trip. However, the small sample size combined with the correlation's weakness shows that sticking to the intuitive hypothesis may be correct.
2007-10-16 13:01:54
7.   bobsbrother
In the post-expansion era, it wouldn't hurt to consider if it was the team's first appearance in the postseason. The Blue Jays, for instance, had lost the ALCS in '89 and '91 before winning the Series in their first try in '92.
2007-10-16 13:22:27
8.   JL25and3
Not to be a nitpicker or anything, but it works out to 13 winners, 12 losses.

I was struck by how closely the progression to .500. It's never been more than a 2-game swing - and then the next two bring it straight back to .500.

So "history says" that the Rockies should win this year.

2007-10-16 17:49:44
9.   Bob Timmermann
I've got to stop counting so late at night.

I don't expect this info to indicate anything. It was just for fun and helped me work through my childhood trauma of always sitting at the kids table every holiday.

Until I was about 25.

Comment status: comments have been closed. Baseball Toaster is now out of business.