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Hail to the Clutchiest
2008-06-28 13:54
by Bob Timmermann
After sitting through a presentation by Dick Cramer and Pete Palmer which reinforced their belief that there is no such thing as a clutch hitter.

And the "clutchiest" player from 1957-2007 according to their calculations was this guy.

Comments
2008-06-28 14:29:58
1.   mehmattski
His .291/.363/.377 line with runners in scoring position is impressive from a player who hit .262/.332/.342 overall.

But he only hit .239/.320/.292 in "late and close"!

Did they look at RBI/RBI Opps? Cause he looks pretty average in that regard too.

2008-06-28 14:34:11
2.   Bob Timmermann
They used linear weights by game situation.
2008-06-28 15:15:56
3.   Greg Brock
Bob, will all the data be available online?
2008-06-28 16:37:34
4.   Bob Timmermann
I assume somewhere at sometime.

But the data isn't all that interesting to Cramer and Palmer because they don't believe clutch hitting exists.

2008-06-30 13:25:58
5.   Tom Meagher
Well, I can't speak for Palmer and Cramer's data, but we have Fangraphs which uses Tangotiger's WPA framework. Fletcher's batting wins are:

Simple linear weights (Palmer, via bb-ref): -10.3
Context-neutral WPA (WPA/LI, http://tinyurl.com/6hmoym): -6.96
Run-expectancy wins (base-out linear weights): -2.05
WPA: 1.58

So it can be argued that he was 12 wins better than his simple lwts would suggest, or one win per 500 PA.

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