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Tejada to Orioles: "Never mind"
2006-01-07 16:41
by Bob Timmermann

For the second time, Miguel Tejada has told the Orioles that he doesn't want to be traded.

Either Tejada was encouraged by the signing of Jeff Conine or the non-signing of Jeromy Burnitz or he was afraid of getting traded to the Phillies or Cubs. Or maybe he likes crabcakes a lot.

So the blockbuster deal of the winter is off, for now. Unless Tejada changes his mind yet again. You can go back to watching NFL playoff games won by a team that passed for 25 yards.

Comments
2006-01-07 17:03:47
1.   D4P
Bob - In your free time, you might check to see how often the team who passes for more yards ends up winning in the playoffs. My guess (based on my memory) would be that that team who
(1) passes for more yards and
(2) rushes for fewer yards
wins less than half the time.
2006-01-07 17:08:09
2.   Bob Timmermann
However Washington had less 50% of Tampa Bay's offense (120 to 243).

But I'm not footballoutsiders.com

Those guys are likely all over this game.

2006-01-07 17:14:04
3.   D4P
Anecdotally (with no stats to back me up), I don't think total yardage is all that important. I've seen many box scores in which a team led in both passing yards and total yards (but not rushing yards), and still lost the game. This has certainly been true of the Rams.
2006-01-07 17:17:28
4.   Bob Timmermann
How about Washington gaining just 2.4 yards per play? That is not the sign of a team that was dominating the line of scrimmage.

But 3 turnovers by Tampa Bay, two of which led to touchdowns were the difference.

2006-01-07 17:26:33
5.   D4P
Yep. Turnovers are huge. Again, I'm just guessing, but I'd guess that the percentage of pass attempts that result in interceptions is greater than the percentage of rush attempts that result in fumbles recovered by the other team. If so, this might help explain why running teams tend to fare better than passing teams in the playoffs (though not so much in the regular season... not sure why there would be a difference...)

Again, the Rams are a great example.

2006-01-07 17:52:37
6.   Bob Timmermann
Ultimately, I think you will find the team that scores more points and give up fewer wins games of all types.

When the Rams won the Super Bowl, they outrushed Tennessee and Atlanta outrushed Denver the year before.

But Super Bowls aren't great samples since a lot of them haven't been close.

2006-01-07 18:27:10
7.   D4P
Ultimately, I think you will find the team that scores more points and give up fewer wins games of all types.

You might be on to something there.

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