Carl Bialik of the Wall Street Journal in his Numbers Guy column is still bemoaning why Willie Randolph didn't order Cliff Floyd to bunt in the ninth inning of Game 7 of the NLCS.
But the article's concludes that there may be no definite answer.
Still, it's unlikely that any team managers are crunching such numbers in the dugout. These analyses entail "a level of complexity that works well in theory but is hard to execute in game conditions," Mr. Woolner told me. Armchair managers, however, can track game situations using a win-expectancy calculator at walkoffbalk.com, or by using Mr. Fox's free software application, Big League Pocket Manager.
In making strategic decisions such as whether to bunt, "There's clearly wrong, clearly right, or somewhere in between," said "The Book" co-author Mr. Lichtman, a former advisor for the Cardinals. "If it's somewhere in between, I always say, flip a coin."