The AP contacted, via e-mails and telephone, about 150 of the approximately 575 present or former members of the Baseball Writers' Association of America who are eligible to cast ballots. Of that number, 125 responded, including 25 AP sports writers. Most of the voters' names were obtained in the Major League Baseball media directory.
And the breakdown was:
-- 74 will not vote for McGwire.
-- 23 will vote for him.
-- 16 are undecided.
-- 5 refused to say.
-- 5 aren't allowed to vote by their employers.
-- 2 will abstain from voting.
That means if all the undecideds and those refusing to say voted for McGwire, and everyone else voted, McGwire would need 84 percent of the rest to get into the Hall.
I expect Tim Russert to get out a greaseboard and start writing "Andro, Andro, Andro".