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[ Fun with scenarios? ]
2007-03-24 22:56
by Bob Timmermann

Sitting down with some paper and the scenario generator on the Yahoo NCAA tournament contest, I worked out who would win if any of the 32 possible ways for the last five games to be played shake out.

  • Two entries will win if their choice for national champ is right: those are "minus the orange" (aka Vishal) who will win if Oregon wins its last three games and Diane Firstman who will win if North Carolina goes all the way. So that accounts for eight of the 32 scenarios. The fact that there were so few people to pick North Carolina may indicate a West Coast bias among Griddle readers. Of course, either entry would be eliminated if either the Ducks or Tar Heels lose.
  • Current co-leader jkm1927 has two ways to win. That entry wins if Ohio State wins the championship and beats either Oregon or Florida in the semifinal.
  • The other co-leader, Trojan Ron, has two ways to win also. He would have to have Ohio State win the national championship over either Florida or Oregon AND if Georgetown beats North Carolina.
  • Entry "dodgergabe" has three ways to win, all of which involve UCLA winning the national championship over Ohio State. That entry will be eliminated tomorrow ONLY if BOTH Oregon and North Carolina win.
  • Entry "sonic death monkey" has three ways to win, predicated on an Ohio State win over UCLA in the national championship. That entry will be eliminated tomorrow ONLY if BOTH Oregon and Georgetown win.
  • El Lay Dave has three possible paths to victory. He needs UCLA to beat North Carolina OR UCLA to beat Ohio State combined with an Oregon win over Florida.
  • "It goes up to 65" has two ways to win. Georgetown has to win the national championship over either UCLA or Florida. That entry is eliminated with an Oregon win.

Then there are a bunch of people who can win if all five games go exactly to their predictions.

  • "Fatwa on Florida" (trainwreck?) would win if both Florida and North Carolina win tomorrow and then again next Saturday and Florida wins the national championship.
  • "Bama Yankee" would win if Ohio State beats Florida for the championship as long as North Carolina wins Sunday.
  • ToyCannon would win if Florida beats Georgetown for the national championship.
  • If Florida beats Ohio State for the national championship AND Georgetown beats North Carolina, Suffering Bruin wins.
  • If UCLA beats Georgetown in the national championship and Florida beats Oregon tomorrow, "maligNED and beLITTLEd" wins.
  • If Georgetown beats Oregon in the national championship, the winner is Confucius.
  • If Ohio State beats UCLA in the national championship and Oregon beats Florida Sunday, Sam DC wins.
  • If UCLA beats Georgetown in the national championship and Oregon beats Florida Sunday, then "Grassy Schmoll" is the winner.
  • If Georgetown beats UCLA in the national championship and Oregon beats Florida Sunday, then Hythloday is the winner.

If your entry isn't on the list, we have some lovely parting gifts for you.

 

 

 

Comments
2007-03-25 00:57:56
1.   El Lay Dave
GO BRUINS!

Bob, I hope you soaked your clicking finger in the whirlpool after that exercise.

For some reason, this cracked me up:
If Georgetown beats Oregon in the national championship, the winner is Confucius.

2007-03-25 01:07:30
2.   Bob Timmermann
There was more writing than clicking to make sure I had all the combinations.
2007-03-25 02:50:38
3.   Marty
If Georgetown beats Oregon in the national championship the terrorists win.
2007-03-25 07:16:37
4.   Vishal
why are some people's bracket names in quotes, while others aren't? i thought it was something to do with toaster user names, but maligNED and beLITTLEd is a commenter, i believe. then i thought maybe the multi-word names were in quotes, but lo and behold, there is trojan ron. so bob, pray tell... what is your system??
2007-03-25 07:49:22
5.   Bob Timmermann
I think I put quotes around entries for which I was unsure of the owner's name.
2007-03-25 07:51:56
6.   Vishal
ah, makes sense. btw, i'm minus the orange :)

go oregon!!

2007-03-25 09:16:07
7.   Suffering Bruin
If Florida beats Ohio State for the national championship AND Georgetown beats North Carolina, Suffering Bruin wins.

I love this contest. I love this site. But I want to lose.

GO BRUINS!!

Comment status: comments have been closed. Baseball Toaster is now out of business.