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Toaster Preaseason Predictions Report
2006-10-01 16:55
by Bob Timmermann

Back before the season started, we made predictions on how each division would turn out.

So how'd we come out.

First of all, how to evaluate it. My method was to sum the squares of the differences in the standings from what someone picked and what the actual standings were. If someone picked the Cubs to finish third, you would be three off, and that would be squared and you would be charged nine points. Low score wins.

The NL West had two sets of ties, both for first and for fourth. So what I did was give people credit for picking either team in first or second (Padres and Dodgers) or fourth or fifth (DBacks and Rockies). For misses in that division, I gave everyone the benefit of a lower score. I was going to subtract 10 points for people who correctly tabbed the wild card team, but nobody picked either one (Detroit and Los Angeles).

And the winner was ...


Final totals:
Timmermann 37
Smart 38
Donohue 41
Corcoran 46
Arneson 47
Belth 48
Long 49
Carminati 50
Siegrist 50
Weisman 56

Now it's time for the postseason.

I'm not going to win that as I picked Cleveland beating St. Louis in the World Series.

2006-10-01 17:24:42
1.   Jon Weisman
Dang Russian judges.

There must be a system where I win, or place, or show, or also run.

2006-10-01 17:27:19
2.   Bob Timmermann
That'll teach you to pick the Padres fourth.

But your downfall was the AL East.

2006-10-01 17:37:18
3.   Sam DC
Sure right, the old square the difference method, and gee, you happened to come out first under that one, huh? No kidding.
2006-10-01 18:33:41
4.   Ken Arneson
Now, wait a minute! You never said you were going to square the differences. I would have totally picked differently had I know that!

Stupid, stupid Tigers! My AL Central pick was looking so good for 161 games.

2006-10-01 19:39:02
5.   Bluebleeder87
i have no clue what you guys are talking about, but go Timmermann!!
2006-10-01 19:55:36
6.   Greg Brock
Wow. Jon must have picked the Rockies, Orioles, Royals, Rangers, Marlins and Brewers.

I kid, Jon. I kid.

2006-10-01 20:43:07
7.   Bob Timmermann
There is a link to the picks.
2006-10-01 22:05:58
8.   popup
Actually Bob the Indians probably would beat the Cardinals in the World Series.

Now that the postseason is here the Toaster folks should go on record with their updated October predictions.

Stan from Tacoma

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